Maps



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THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO REFLECT CHANGES IN THE
INITIAL AND FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY FOR TROPICAL STORM
NOEL. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 45 KT BASED ON 1000-FT
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF ABOUT 55 KT...AND SFMR ESTIMATES BETWEEN 45
AND 50 KT. INTENSITY FORECAST HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY
UPWARD. THE AIRCRAFT LOCATED THE CIRCULATION CENTER ABOUT 45 N MI
NORTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE RELOCATION.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THE PRONUNCIATION FOR THE THIS STORM'S NAME IS
NOL...WITH A LONG O SOUND AND JUST ONE SYLLABLE...OR EXACTLY LIKE
THE WORD KNOLL.

TROPICAL STORM NOEL SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
1815 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007

AT 1815Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME


More data...
Weather2Day

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