Tropical Storm Fay is expected to reach huricane force by the time it reaches Florida.

A hurricane warning went into effect at 11 a.m. today for the southwest coast of Florida, from Anna Maria Island to Flamingo in the Florida Keys.

A warning means hurricane conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. “Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed into completion,” according to the bulletin from the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Tropical Storm Fay is located about 70 miles south, southeast of Key West. The center of the storm is expected to be near the Keys this afternoon or tonight and near the southwest coast of Florida on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts.
Strengthening is predicted during the next 24 hours and Fay is forecast to become a hurricane as it nears the southwest coast on Tuesday.
The entire area is susceptible to a hit and in the forecast cone.
Forecasters predict a minimal hurricane but that could change when the storm passes over the Keys and travels through the warm Gulf waters. Still, rapid intensification is not forecast.


Hurricane warning issued for Gulf Coast | HeraldTribune.com | Southwest Florida's Information Leader


US Watch/Warning Storm Surge

000
WTNT31 KNHC 181438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH
SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST OF FLAMINGO...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA TO TARPON SPRINGS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR CUBA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65
MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE BEING
REPORTED IN SOME PARTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF FLORIDA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...23.6 N...81.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN

Tropical Storm FAY Public Advisory

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Tropical Storm Fay has struck Cuba after causing widespread flooding that left dozens dead in the Dominican Republic and Haiti.
The storm appears to have spared Havana and caused minimal damage elsewhere in Cuba, where authorities had evacuated dozens of low-lying areas.
But Fay could reach hurricane strength before it nears the Florida Keys later on Monday, US forecasters say.
Officials there have opened shelters and urged visitors to leave.

BBC NEWS | World | Americas | Storm hits Cuba on way to Florida

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current location

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IBISEYE.com -- Your 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Map Source -- Tracking path of storm Fay

Storm Centre - Interactive Map of the USA Alerts and detail of hurricanes, tropical storms etc.

Worth a look

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At 2 p.m. Tropical Storm Fay was about 20 miles southeast of Key West, Florida, and had not yet developed an eyewall or hurricane-strength winds, according to the latest bulletin from the National Hurricane Center.

Fay, still a tropical storm, nears the Keys | HeraldTribune.com | Southwest Florida's Information Leader

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The latest forecast track for Tropical Storm Fay has shifted east, with landfall now possible south of Charlotte County as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane.

The storm is losing speed as it moves closer to land, and is expected to slow down even more overnight.
There is a correlation between the forward speed and the point of landfall, according to Rebecca Waddington, National Hurricane Center meteorologist: The more slowly the storm moves, the further south it will probably land because of how Fay is interacting with steering winds.
Because of the unpredictability of the forecast, the west coast of Florida from Anna Maria Island south to Flamingo is still under a hurricane warning.
If the storm does land further to the south of that zone, it will likely be less powerful than earlier predictions because it will have spent less time over water.
As of 5 p.m., maximum winds at landfall Tuesday are estimated at 69 mph, with gusts up to 86 mph.


Fay to lose speed, land farther south | HeraldTribune.com | Southwest Florida's Information Leader

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000
Wtnt31 Knhc 182041
Tcpat1
Bulletin
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 13
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al062008
500 Pm Edt Mon Aug 18 2008

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Southwestern Coast Of
Florida From Flamingo To Anna Maria Island. A Hurricane Warning
Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning
Area Within The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To Protect Life And
Property Should Be Rushed To Completion.

At 5 Pm Edt...the Tropical Storm Warning On The Florida East Coast
Is Extended Northward To Flagler Beach. A Tropical Storm Warning
Is Now In Effect Along The Florida East Coast From Flagler Beach
Southward...including Lake Okeechobee.

At 5 Pm Edt...2100 Utc...a Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For
The Florida West Coast North Of Anna Maria Island To Tarpon
Springs. A Hurricane Watch Also Remains In Effect For This Area.

At 5 Pm Edt...2100 Utc...the Hurricane Watch Is Discontinued For The
Florida Keys From Ocean Reef To Key West...including The Dry
Tortugas...and For The Florida Mainland East Of Flamingo To Card
Sound Bridge. A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For This
Area.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Florida East Coast
North Of Flagler Beach To Fernandina Beach.

A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For The Northwestern Bahamas.

Interests Elsewhere In Florida And The Eastern Gulf Of Mexico Should
Monitor The Progress Of Fay.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 500 Pm Edt...2100z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Fay Was Located
Near Latitude 24.6 North...longitude 81.9 West Or Near Key West
Florida And About 145 Miles...235 Km...south Of Ft. Myers Florida.

Fay Is Moving Toward The North-northwest Near 12 Mph...19 Km/hr.
A Turn Toward The North With A Slower Forward Speed Is Expected
Tonight...followed By A Generally Northward Motion Tuesday And
Tuesday Night. This Motion Should Bring The Center Of Fay Away
From The Florida Keys Tonight...and Near Or Over The Southwestern
Coast Of Florida On Tuesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 60 Mph...95 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Strengthening Is Expected Tonight And Tuesday...and Fay Is
Forecast To Be At Or Near Hurricane Strength As It Approaches The
Southwestern Coast Of Florida.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 125 Miles...205 Km
From The Center. The Noaa Automated Station At Sombrero Key Florida
Recently Reported 2-minute Average Winds Of 60 Mph...96 Km/hr...and
An Elevation Of 159 Feet. The Noaa Automated Station At Sand Key
Florida Recently Reported A Wind Gust Of 71 Mph...115 Km/hr...at An
Elevation Of 149 Ft.

The Latest Minimum Central Pressure Reported By An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter Aircraft And The National Weather Service Office
In Key West Is 998 Mb...29.47 Inches.

Storm Tides Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Are Possible Along The
Southwestern Coast Of Florida Near The Center Of Fay. Tides Of 2
To 4 Ft Above Normal Are Possible In The Florida Keys.

Fay Is Expected To Produce Additional Rainfall Accumulations Of 3 To
5 Inches Over The Central Portion Of Cuba...with Storm Total
Amounts Of 20 Inches Being Possible. These Rains Could Cause Life
Threatening Flash-floods And Mudslides. Rainfall Accumulations Of
4 To 8 Inches...with Maximum Storm Total Amounts Of 10 Inches...are
Possible For The Florida Keys And The Central And Southern Florida
Peninsula. Rainfall Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Possible In
The Northwestern Bahamas.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Tonight Over The Florida Keys..and
The Southern And Central Florida Peninsula.

Repeating The 500 Pm Edt Position...24.6 N...81.9 W. Movement
Toward...north-northwest Near 12 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...60
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...998 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 800 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1100
Pm Edt.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Fay makes landfall as a tropical storm


By MATT SEDENSKY
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS


Published: Tuesday, August 19, 2008 at 6:08 a.m.
Last Modified: Tuesday, August 19, 2008 at 6:14 a.m.
NAPLES. — Tropical Storm Fay made landfall on

Florida’s southwest coast early Tuesday, bringing soaking rains and
gusty winds but nothing like the destruction last seen in the area
during a 2004 killer hurricane.
Streets were largely deserted in the early morning hours in
Naples, where police had a curfew in place. Rain swept across
desolate streets that were littered with palm fronds and other
minor debris, and there was street flooding in spots but no
immediate reports of storm surge damage.


Fay makes landfall as a tropical storm | HeraldTribune.com | Southwest Florida's Information Leader

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Here she is!!

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